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Vistra (VST) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

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Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported $4.02 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year decline of 5.5%. EPS of $1.80 for the same period compares to $1.01 a year ago.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.29 billion, representing a surprise of -36.17%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +16.88%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.54.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Total retail electricity sales volumes: 31,800.00 GWh versus 34,031.77 GWh estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $773 million versus $750.28 million estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- West: $68 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $53.37 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- East: $642 million compared to the $627.65 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $311 million versus $232.31 million estimated by two analysts on average.

View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>

Shares of Vistra have returned -11.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.4% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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