We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Can 45Z Tax Credits Become Alto Ingredients' Next Earnings Driver?
Read MoreHide Full Article
Key Takeaways
Alto Ingredients generated $5.1 million in 45Z tax credit earnings in the second quarter of 2026.
Alto Ingredients is on track to qualify at least 90 million gallons for 45Z credits in 2026.
ALTO added 5 million gallons of annual capacity, with the full benefit expected in the fourth quarter.
Alto Ingredients, Inc.’s (ALTO - Free Report) 45Z tax credits are becoming a larger earnings contributor as it works to expand eligible production and lower carbon intensity. In the second quarter of 2026, Alto Ingredients generated $5.1 million in 45Z tax credit earnings, comprising $4 million of credits earned during the quarter and $1.1 million of final adjustments related to the sale of its 2025 credits. Year to date, it has accrued $7.9 million in net 2026 45Z credits that are expected to be monetized in the future.
For 2026, Alto Ingredients remains on track to qualify 90 million gallons or more of combined production for 45Z credits, supporting a minimum expectation of $15 million in income after monetization costs. Based on credits recognized through the first half, the company is currently tracking toward a $15-$16 million range.
The opportunity could expand through higher eligible volumes. Alto Ingredients completed a debottlenecking project at its Pekin dry mill that increased annual production capacity by about 8%, or 5 million gallons. The additional gallons are eligible for 45Z credits, with the full benefit of the added capacity expected in the fourth quarter.
Another opportunity is to lower the carbon intensity of corn sourced from farmer partners. Alto Ingredients is exploring how much corn and production volume could qualify under low-carbon-intensity corn. However, the company is not yet able to recognize this benefit for 2026. Practices such as cover crops implemented after the 2026 harvest could begin providing benefits in 2027.
ALTO's 45Z Tax Credit Developments Compare With Peers
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE - Free Report) generated significant value from 45Z credits in the second quarter of 2026. Green Plains reported $58.7 million in 45Z production tax credits, net of discounts and other costs, contributing to adjusted EBITDA of $93.3 million. For the first half, Green Plains recognized $113.9 million in 45Z credits on a net basis, highlighting the potential impact of the tax credit on ethanol economics.
Gevo, Inc. (GEVO - Free Report) is targeting more than $70 million in 45Z tax credit monetization in 2026, compared with $52 million last year. In its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, GEVO noted that the increase is supported by continued low-carbon ethanol and RNG production and improvements in carbon intensity. Gevo had already closed $20 million in 45Z credit sales after the second quarter, with the remaining approximately $50 million targeted for monetization by year-end.
Shares of Alto Ingredients have fallen 8.4% over the three months against the industry’s growth of 18%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, ALTO trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.33, lower than the industry’s average of 3.41.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alto Ingredients’ 2026 and 2027 earnings per share has declined 27.8% and 66.3% to 39 cents and 28 cents, respectively, in the past seven days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Alto Ingredients currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
Image: Bigstock
Can 45Z Tax Credits Become Alto Ingredients' Next Earnings Driver?
Key Takeaways
Alto Ingredients, Inc.’s (ALTO - Free Report) 45Z tax credits are becoming a larger earnings contributor as it works to expand eligible production and lower carbon intensity. In the second quarter of 2026, Alto Ingredients generated $5.1 million in 45Z tax credit earnings, comprising $4 million of credits earned during the quarter and $1.1 million of final adjustments related to the sale of its 2025 credits. Year to date, it has accrued $7.9 million in net 2026 45Z credits that are expected to be monetized in the future.
For 2026, Alto Ingredients remains on track to qualify 90 million gallons or more of combined production for 45Z credits, supporting a minimum expectation of $15 million in income after monetization costs. Based on credits recognized through the first half, the company is currently tracking toward a $15-$16 million range.
The opportunity could expand through higher eligible volumes. Alto Ingredients completed a debottlenecking project at its Pekin dry mill that increased annual production capacity by about 8%, or 5 million gallons. The additional gallons are eligible for 45Z credits, with the full benefit of the added capacity expected in the fourth quarter.
Another opportunity is to lower the carbon intensity of corn sourced from farmer partners. Alto Ingredients is exploring how much corn and production volume could qualify under low-carbon-intensity corn. However, the company is not yet able to recognize this benefit for 2026. Practices such as cover crops implemented after the 2026 harvest could begin providing benefits in 2027.
ALTO's 45Z Tax Credit Developments Compare With Peers
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE - Free Report) generated significant value from 45Z credits in the second quarter of 2026. Green Plains reported $58.7 million in 45Z production tax credits, net of discounts and other costs, contributing to adjusted EBITDA of $93.3 million. For the first half, Green Plains recognized $113.9 million in 45Z credits on a net basis, highlighting the potential impact of the tax credit on ethanol economics.
Gevo, Inc. (GEVO - Free Report) is targeting more than $70 million in 45Z tax credit monetization in 2026, compared with $52 million last year. In its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, GEVO noted that the increase is supported by continued low-carbon ethanol and RNG production and improvements in carbon intensity. Gevo had already closed $20 million in 45Z credit sales after the second quarter, with the remaining approximately $50 million targeted for monetization by year-end.
ALTO Stock Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of Alto Ingredients have fallen 8.4% over the three months against the industry’s growth of 18%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, ALTO trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.33, lower than the industry’s average of 3.41.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alto Ingredients’ 2026 and 2027 earnings per share has declined 27.8% and 66.3% to 39 cents and 28 cents, respectively, in the past seven days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Alto Ingredients currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.