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Opendoor's Weekly Contracts Top 700: Can the Momentum Last?

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Key Takeaways

  • Opendoor reached about 700 weekly purchase contracts, its strongest tally in years.
  • Second-quarter acquisition contracts rose to 6,908 as marketing spending fell to just $5 million.
  • OPEN expects a 4%-4.5% contribution margin as seasonal pressure remains.

Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN - Free Report) is showing a sharp pickup in acquisition activity even as the broader housing market remains challenging. On its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, management said the company is signing more than 500 home purchase contracts per week, with the prior week reaching around 700, its strongest weekly tally in years and more than five times the level seen a year ago.

The weekly numbers build on a strong second quarter. Opendoor generated 6,908 acquisition contracts, up from 5,136 in the first quarter. Homes purchased rose 77% sequentially and 149% year over year to 4,378, while the company ended the quarter with 2,310 homes under contract to purchase, compared with 393 a year earlier. More importantly, the higher volume came with far lower marketing spending. Opendoor spent just $5 million on marketing while producing more than 6,900 acquisition contracts. Management also said seller conversion improved significantly at comparable spreads, suggesting the company is not simply buying higher volume by taking on more pricing risk.

Seasonality remains a hurdle. Historically, Opendoor’s contribution margin has fallen sharply between the second and third quarters, with the average decline approaching 500 basis points excluding 2023. For third-quarter 2026, management expects a contribution margin of about 4%-4.5%, while revenues are expected to grow at least 20% year over year and contribution profit to more than double.

For now, the roughly 700-contract week suggests Opendoor’s turnaround is gaining operating momentum despite a difficult housing market. Still, acquisition contracts do not all translate into completed purchases. If volumes remain above the roughly 6,000-per-quarter level in management’s profitability framework while conversion, margins and cost discipline hold, the acceleration could become an important bridge from turnaround to sustained profitability.

Opendoor’s Competitive Landscape: Compass & Rocket

Opendoor’s accelerating contract volume comes as other real estate technology players are also emphasizing scale, conversion and operating efficiency. Compass, Inc. (COMP - Free Report) is pursuing a brokerage-led platform strategy rather than principal home buying. In the second quarter of 2026, Compass generated $4.3 billion in revenues and $363 million in adjusted EBITDA, while brokerage transactions rose 7.4% year over year versus 3.5% for the broader market. It also actioned its $300 million first-year cost-synergy target five months early.

Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT - Free Report) offers another increasingly relevant comparison as it builds a broader homeownership ecosystem around mortgage origination, servicing and Redfin. Rocket posted $2.8 billion in adjusted revenues and $766 million in adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2026, while purchase market share rose to a record 6.2% and refinance share reached 14.3%. More than 70% of revenues now come from recurring or less rate-sensitive businesses, helping reduce dependence on mortgage-rate cycles.

Overall, Opendoor currently stands out for combining faster contract growth with sharply lower marketing intensity.

OPEN’s Stock Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of Opendoor have lost 23.9% in the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Internet - Software industry, the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 Index.

OPEN’s Six-Month Price Performance

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From a valuation standpoint, OPEN stock trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 0.54, significantly below the industry’s average of 4.08.

P/S (F12M)

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OPEN’s estimates for 2026 indicate a loss of 12 cents per share, while those for 2027 point to earnings. Over the past 30 days, the 2026 estimates have remained unchanged, whereas those for 2027 have moved from breakeven to earnings of 1 cent per share.

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OPEN currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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