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Are High Oil Prices a Tailwind for Cenovus Energy's Business?

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Key Takeaways

  • Cenovus Energy has a strong upstream presence, including oil sands assets in northern Alberta.
  • EIA projects WTI to average $80.88 this year, a level expected to support upstream operations.
  • CVE shares gained 113.5% over the past year, outpacing the industry's 85.8% growth.

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE - Free Report) is an integrated energy company with a strong presence in the upstream business, comprising oil sands assets in northern Alberta. Thus, the company’s business is highly vulnerable to oil prices.

West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) is currently trading above $85 per barrel, according to data from Oilprice.com, significantly higher than the shut-in and breakeven prices for existing wells in key resources. The escalation of conflicts in the Middle East has been aiding the rally in commodity prices.

Also, in its latest short-term energy outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) projects the WTI spot price to average $80.88 per barrel this year, a level that should remain supportive of upstream operations. As a result, CVE’s upstream operations are benefiting from higher benchmark oil prices, which are eventually increasing oil sands production.

Will CVX & COP Also Gain From High Oil?

Like CVE, Chevron Corporation (CVX - Free Report) and ConocoPhillips (COP - Free Report) will benefit from the ongoing strength in oil prices.

With COP generating a significant proportion of revenues from crude oil, the high price of the commodity is extremely favorable for the leading oil and gas exploration and production company.

The upstream energy giant also has low-cost drilling opportunities across the Permian, Eagle Ford and Bakken that could be successfully developed over two decades. Thus, the outlook for ConocoPhillips’ upstream operations looks bright.

Chevron, on the other hand, has been witnessing growth in production volumes, thanks to its footprint in the Permian, the most prolific basin in the United States. CVX is thus well-poised to gain from prevailing high oil prices.

CVE’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of CVE have gained 113.5% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 85.8%.

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From a valuation standpoint, CVE trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 5.96X. This is below the broader industry average of 6.18X.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CVE’s 2026 earnings hasn’t seen any revisions over the past seven days.

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CVE currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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