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IREN Heads Into FY2026 Results: Can Growth Momentum Continue?

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Key Takeaways

  • IREN's AI cloud revenues nearly doubled sequentially to $33.6 million in the March-end quarter.
  • IREN targets over $4 billion in year-end 2026 annualized run-rate revenue, with about 85% contracted.
  • IREN's Horizon 1 was accepted under Microsoft's five-year, $9.7 billion cloud services contract.

IREN Limited’s (IREN - Free Report) will now report fiscal 2026 results on Aug. 27, after market close, giving investors a view of how quickly its business is shifting from Bitcoin mining toward AI cloud. The March-end quarter showed that transition clearly: revenues fell to $144.8 million, while AI cloud revenue nearly doubled sequentially to $33.6 million.

The biggest number to watch is AI cloud growth. IREN raised its year-end 2026 annualized run-rate revenue target from $3.7 billion to more than $4 billion after signing $2.8 billion of new multi-year contracts. About 85% of that target is already contracted, making deployment and customer acceptance important.

Execution at Childress will matter just as much as bookings. Horizon 1, the first of four 50MW liquid-cooled deployments for Microsoft, has been delivered and accepted under a five-year, $9.7 billion cloud services contract. Investors should watch the timing of Horizons 2-4 and progress toward 480MW of 2026 AI cloud capacity.

The earnings mix is another key issue. In the March-end quarter, Bitcoin mining revenue dropped to $111.2 million from $167.4 million in the prior quarter as mining hardware was decommissioned, while adjusted EBITDA fell to $59.5 million. The upcoming earnings report should show whether faster AI revenue is starting to offset that decline.

Funding remains central to the expansion plan. IREN reported about $7.6 billion of cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, including $1.7 billion of restricted cash tied to Microsoft GPU financing. Recent customer prepayments covered roughly 45% of associated GPU capital expenditure, which could reduce the company’s net funding needs.

IREN vs. Peers: Who Leads the AI Data Center Race?

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD - Free Report) offers investors another useful AI-infrastructure read-through. Applied Digital posted fiscal fourth-quarter revenues of $258.7 million, up 407% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA reached $42.4 million. Applied Digital also signed a 15-year, 300MW hyperscaler lease worth about $7.5 billion, keeping new-capacity delivery and financing firmly in focus ahead. 

Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR - Free Report) is making a similar shift from Bitcoin mining toward high-performance computing. Cipher Digital posted second-quarter 2026 revenues of $25 million and adjusted EBITDA of negative $30 million. Cipher Digital also began Black Pearl rent in August, two months early, making data-center delivery, HPC leasing, and project financing investor watchpoints.

IREN’s Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates

Shares of IREN have declined 25% over the past three months, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 composite. 

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In terms of forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S), IREN is currently trading at 4.32X, which is at a premium to the industry average of 2.58X.

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Estimates for IREN’s 2026 and 2027 earnings have been revised downward in the past 30 days. However, the company is expected to report a profit next year. 

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Currently, IREN carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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