Back to top

Image: Bigstock

NextEra Energy vs. AEP: Which Electric Power Stock Has More Upside?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • NextEra Energy leads AEP in earnings estimate growth, net margin and return on equity.
  • NEE plans nearly $94.7B in investments through 2030, exceeding AEP's $78B plan for 2026-2030.
  • AEP trades at a lower 18.33X forward P/E versus NEE's 19.67X, while both exceed the industry.

The Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry offers stable, long-term income, supported by regulated operations that allow companies to recover costs and earn consistent returns. Steady electricity demand from residential, commercial & industrial customers and a sudden rise in demand from AI-based data centers are creating fresh opportunities for the industry. The attractive dividends further strengthen the sector’s defensive appeal. Lower interest rates are also beneficial, as they reduce financing costs for capital-intensive infrastructure investments.

At the same time, utilities are evolving through large-scale investments in renewable energy, grid modernization and electrification. The development of large-scale battery storage projects and the use of advanced technologies to map and reinforce infrastructure in areas vulnerable to severe weather are improving operational reliability. Against this backdrop, NextEra Energy (NEE - Free Report) and American Electric Power (AEP - Free Report) stand out as leading utilities positioned to benefit from rising power demand and the clean energy transition. 

NextEra Energy benefits from its strong renewable energy platform and regulated Florida utility operations. Investments in wind, solar, battery storage and grid infrastructure support long-term growth while providing investors with a combination of stability and clean energy exposure. As the parent of Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, NEE manages one of the world’s largest wind and solar portfolios.

American Electric Power relies on a large regulated utility and transmission network. Its investments in grid modernization, transmission infrastructure and cleaner generation, supported by steady cash flows and dividends, strengthen its long-term growth prospects. AEP is well-positioned to benefit from rising power demand and decarbonization efforts, reinforcing its role as a stable, income-focused utility.

Both NEE and AEP offer attractive utility exposure, but a comparison of their fundamentals can help determine which stock currently presents the stronger investment opportunity.

NEE & AEP’s Earnings Growth Projections

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NextEra Energy’s earnings per share in 2026 and 2027 has increased year over year by 8.09% and 8.73%, respectively.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The same for American Electric Power’s earnings per share in 2026 and 2027 has increased year over year by 6.7% and 7.66%, respectively.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

NEE’s Net Margin Higher Than AEP

Net margin measures the percentage of revenue retained as profit after deducting all expenses, taxes and interest.

NEE’s net margin is currently pegged at 28.44% compared with AEP’s 14.19%.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Return on Equity

Return on Equity (“ROE”) is an important measure of financial performance that indicates how efficiently a company converts shareholder equity into profits. It highlights management’s effectiveness in utilizing invested capital to grow earnings and enhance shareholder value.

NextEra Energy’s current ROE is 12.28% compared with AEP’s 9.95%. NEE also outperformed the industry’s ROE of 11.4%.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Long-term Capital Expenditure Plans

Capital expenditure is critical in the sector, as it drives infrastructure development, system reliability and long-term growth. Utilities must consistently invest in power generation, transmission and distribution networks to meet rising demand, integrate renewable energy sources and comply with evolving regulatory standards.
 
NextEra Energy plans to invest nearly $94.7 billion through 2030 to strengthen its infrastructure and add more clean electricity generation assets. American Electric Power plans to invest $78 billion in the 2026-2030 period to strengthen its electric transmission, distribution and generation infrastructure.

Debt to Capital

The capital-intensive Zacks Utilities sector requires substantial investment to modernize infrastructure, expand operations and adopt new technologies. Utilities generally supplement internally generated cash with external borrowings to fund these projects. The current 3.5-3.75% interest-rate environment should lower financing costs, improve financial flexibility and support long-term capital investment and earnings growth.

NextEra Energy’s long-term debt-to-capital currently stands at 59.21% compared with American Electric Power’s 59.04%. Both companies are using debt to fund their business.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Valuation

NextEra Energy currently appears to trade at a premium compared with American Electric Power on a Price/Earnings Forward 12-month basis. (P/E- F12M).

NEE and AEP are currently trading at 19.67X and 18.33X, respectively, compared with the industry’s 15.29X.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Summing Up

NextEra Energy and American Electric Power are investing heavily in their infrastructure to serve millions of customers across the United States.

AEP is currently trading at a lower valuation than NEE. However, NEE’s stronger earnings estimate revisions, superior net margins, higher return on equity and larger capital investment program make it the more compelling investment choice in the utility sector.

Based on the above discussion, NextEra Energy currently has an edge over American Electric Power, though both presently carry a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Published in