A month has gone by since the last earnings report for ViaSat (VSAT Quick QuoteVSAT - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 13.7% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is ViaSat due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Viasat Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.

Viasat Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates Despite Lower Y/Y Revenues 

Viasat reported mixed first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, with revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate and earnings beating the consensus estimate.

The company reported a year-over-year revenue decline, reflecting ongoing headwinds in portions of its legacy commercial services portfolio and lower IP licensing revenues. However, its bottom line improved as reduced interest expense, driven by continued debt repayment, outweighed the impact of lower revenues.

Net Income

Viasat reported a net loss of $51.7 million or a loss of 38 cents per share compared with a net loss of $56.4 million or a loss of 43 cents per share in the prior-year quarter. The narrower loss was due to lower interest expense during the quarter.

Excluding non-recurring items, Viasat reported non-GAAP net income of $24.5 million or 17 cents per share compared with $23.1 million or 17 cents per share in the prior-year period. The bottom line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 10 cents.

Revenues

Revenues declined to $1.16 billion from $1.17 billion. The figure missed the consensus estimate of $1.2 billion. Product revenues were $324.1 million, down from $344.7 million in the year-ago quarter. Service revenues increased to $832.4 million from $826.4 million a year ago.

Revenues from the Communication Services segment were $825.1 million, down from $827.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The marginal revenue decline reflected lower contributions from residential fixed broadband and maritime services, which offset continued growth in aviation and government Satellite Communications. The segment’s adjusted EBITDA decreased to $311.3 million from $321.5 million.

Revenues from the Defense and Advanced Technologies (DAT) segment were $331.5 million, down 4% year over year, primarily due to weaker contributions from Advanced Technologies & Other and Space and Mission Systems, despite strong Tactical Networking growth. Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $69.9 million from $86.9 million in the year-ago quarter.

Other Details

In the June quarter, Viasat reported an operating income of $47.3 million compared with $46.7 million in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $381.1 million, down from $408.5 million in the year-ago quarter. The net contract awards increased to $1.3 billion from $1.18 billion a year ago, while the backlog increased 19% year over year to $4.22 billion.

Cash Flow & Liquidity

During the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Viasat generated an operating cash flow of $260.6 million compared with $258.5 million in the prior-year period. As of June 30, 2026, the company had $1.74 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with a net debt of $4.83 billion.

Outlook

For fiscal 2027, management expects mid-single-digit revenue growth and flat to slightly up adjusted EBITDA year over year. Viasat anticipates the Communication Services segment’s low single-digit year-over-year revenue performance, due to continued growth in aviation services, offset by a decline in FS&O. DAT revenue growth is anticipated to be in the mid-teens, primarily driven by strong growth in information security and cyber defense, as well as space and mission systems and tactical networking. 

Capital expenditure is expected to be between $950 million and $1 billion (including approximately $250-$300 million for Inmarsat-related capital expenditures). The company’s operating cash flow is expected to be flat year over year, and the free cash flow is anticipated to be approximately $180 million (excluding the benefit of the Ligado lump sum payments, as they are non-recurring).

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, estimates revision have trended downward during the past month.

The consensus estimate has shifted -13.33% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

Currently, ViaSat has a average Growth Score of C, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with an F. However, the stock has a score of A on the value side, putting it in the top 20% for value investors.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions has been net zero. Notably, ViaSat has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

Performance of an Industry Player

ViaSat is part of the Zacks Wireless Equipment industry. Over the past month, Nokia (NOK Quick QuoteNOK - Free Report) , a stock from the same industry, has gained 2.7%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended June 2026 more than a month ago.

Nokia reported revenues of $5.6 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.5%. EPS of $0.08 for the same period compares with $0.05 a year ago.

Nokia is expected to post earnings of $0.08 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +14.3%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.

The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Nokia. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of D.