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Murphy USA (MUSA) Down 2.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Murphy USA (MUSA - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 2.6% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Murphy USA due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.
Murphy USA Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Fuel Contribution
Motor fuel retailer Murphy USA reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $11.27 per share, up 53.1% from $7.36 a year ago and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.40 by 19.89%. The El Dorado, AR-based company’s total operating revenues surged 36% year over year to $6.81 billion and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.90 billion by 15.34%.
Results benefited from stronger fuel economics, higher total retail volumes and merchandise contribution growth. Same-store fuel volumes increased 0.5%, while total retail gallons advanced 3.9%.
Fuel Economics Drive Strong Contribution
Total fuel contribution increased 32% year over year to $518.8 million. Moreover, the reported figure beat our estimate of $447.4 million. Retail fuel contribution climbed 25% to $448.9 million as retail fuel margins expanded to 35.1 cents per gallon from 29.2 cents in the prior-year quarter. Both Retail fuel contribution and margins exceeded our estimates of $362 million and 29 cents per gallon, respectively.
All-in fuel contribution reached 40.6 cents per gallon, up from 32 cents a year earlier. Fuel supply, including RINs, contributed 5.5 cents per gallon compared with 2.8 cents. Management noted that tighter supply conditions supported stronger spot-to-rack spreads, while higher RIN prices aided results, though that timing benefit is not expected to persist through the second half.
Merchandise Growth Remains Resilient
Total merchandise contribution rose 4% to $227.4 million, supported by higher merchandise sales and improved unit margins. Merchandise sales increased to $1.13 billion from $1.09 billion, while unit margin edged up to 20.1% from 20%.
Nicotine remained the main growth engine. Same-store nicotine sales and margins increased 2.4% and 4.6%, respectively. Cigarette sales and margins returned to growth, while nicotine-pouch unit volume more than doubled. Non-nicotine same-store sales declined 1.4%, although margins improved 0.2%.
Store and other operating expenses increased to $308.7 million from $275.2 million. Higher payment fees accounted for roughly two-thirds of the quarterly increase as higher retail fuel prices raised transaction costs. Employee-related expenses and new-store operating costs also contributed to the increase.
Still, store operating expenses excluding payment fees and rent rose only 1.1% on an average-per-store-month basis to $36,500. SG&A increased to $60.5 million from $50.9 million, primarily reflecting employee-related expenses and higher incentive accruals.
MUSA added six new-to-industry stores during the quarter and ended June with 1,806 locations. At quarter-end, 36 stores were under construction, including 32 new-to-industry sites and four raze-and-rebuild projects.
Management expects 2026 new-store additions to be closer to 45, the low end of its 45-55 range, absent tuck-in acquisitions. The company also reduced planned raze-and-rebuild activity to about 10 stores and is directing more resources toward new development, its land pipeline and stores scheduled to open in 2027.
Balance Sheet
Operating cash flow totaled $235 million in the quarter. Murphy USA ended June with $175.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and roughly $2.17 billion of long-term debt, with a debt-to-total capital of about 73.6%. Its revolving credit facility was undrawn at quarter-end.
This company repurchased about 143,100 shares for $76.8 million at an average price of $536.60 and paid a quarterly dividend of 64 cents per share. Capital expenditures are now expected near the high end of the $475-$525 million range as spending shifts toward growth, land purchases and proactive maintenance.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
Since the earnings release, investors have witnessed a upward trend in estimates revision.
VGM Scores
At this time, Murphy USA has a strong Growth Score of A, a score with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a score of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for value investors.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Murphy USA has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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Murphy USA (MUSA) Down 2.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Murphy USA (MUSA - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 2.6% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Murphy USA due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.
Murphy USA Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Fuel Contribution
Motor fuel retailer Murphy USA reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $11.27 per share, up 53.1% from $7.36 a year ago and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.40 by 19.89%. The El Dorado, AR-based company’s total operating revenues surged 36% year over year to $6.81 billion and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.90 billion by 15.34%.
Results benefited from stronger fuel economics, higher total retail volumes and merchandise contribution growth. Same-store fuel volumes increased 0.5%, while total retail gallons advanced 3.9%.
Fuel Economics Drive Strong Contribution
Total fuel contribution increased 32% year over year to $518.8 million. Moreover, the reported figure beat our estimate of $447.4 million. Retail fuel contribution climbed 25% to $448.9 million as retail fuel margins expanded to 35.1 cents per gallon from 29.2 cents in the prior-year quarter. Both Retail fuel contribution and margins exceeded our estimates of $362 million and 29 cents per gallon, respectively.
All-in fuel contribution reached 40.6 cents per gallon, up from 32 cents a year earlier. Fuel supply, including RINs, contributed 5.5 cents per gallon compared with 2.8 cents. Management noted that tighter supply conditions supported stronger spot-to-rack spreads, while higher RIN prices aided results, though that timing benefit is not expected to persist through the second half.
Merchandise Growth Remains Resilient
Total merchandise contribution rose 4% to $227.4 million, supported by higher merchandise sales and improved unit margins. Merchandise sales increased to $1.13 billion from $1.09 billion, while unit margin edged up to 20.1% from 20%.
Nicotine remained the main growth engine. Same-store nicotine sales and margins increased 2.4% and 4.6%, respectively. Cigarette sales and margins returned to growth, while nicotine-pouch unit volume more than doubled. Non-nicotine same-store sales declined 1.4%, although margins improved 0.2%.
Store and other operating expenses increased to $308.7 million from $275.2 million. Higher payment fees accounted for roughly two-thirds of the quarterly increase as higher retail fuel prices raised transaction costs. Employee-related expenses and new-store operating costs also contributed to the increase.
Still, store operating expenses excluding payment fees and rent rose only 1.1% on an average-per-store-month basis to $36,500. SG&A increased to $60.5 million from $50.9 million, primarily reflecting employee-related expenses and higher incentive accruals.
MUSA added six new-to-industry stores during the quarter and ended June with 1,806 locations. At quarter-end, 36 stores were under construction, including 32 new-to-industry sites and four raze-and-rebuild projects.
Management expects 2026 new-store additions to be closer to 45, the low end of its 45-55 range, absent tuck-in acquisitions. The company also reduced planned raze-and-rebuild activity to about 10 stores and is directing more resources toward new development, its land pipeline and stores scheduled to open in 2027.
Balance Sheet
Operating cash flow totaled $235 million in the quarter. Murphy USA ended June with $175.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and roughly $2.17 billion of long-term debt, with a debt-to-total capital of about 73.6%. Its revolving credit facility was undrawn at quarter-end.
This company repurchased about 143,100 shares for $76.8 million at an average price of $536.60 and paid a quarterly dividend of 64 cents per share. Capital expenditures are now expected near the high end of the $475-$525 million range as spending shifts toward growth, land purchases and proactive maintenance.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
Since the earnings release, investors have witnessed a upward trend in estimates revision.
VGM Scores
At this time, Murphy USA has a strong Growth Score of A, a score with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a score of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for value investors.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Murphy USA has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.