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What Does the Future Hold for Par Pacific's Refining Business?

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Key Takeaways

  • Par Pacific's July refining index stayed high at $31.34 a barrel, near Q2's roughly $33 average.
  • PARR may benefit from firm fuel demand and tight global inventories despite the Hawaii turnaround.
  • PARR shares rose 145.1% in a year and trade at 3.48X EV/EBITDA, below the industry's 5.75X.

Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR - Free Report) continued to benefit from a strong refining market at the start of the third quarter. Its refining index, which is a rough measure of how profitable it is to turn crude oil into products like gasoline and diesel, was still very high in July at $31.34 per barrel, slightly below the second-quarter average of about $33.

Demand for fuels remained solid, especially on the mainland, while global fuel inventories stayed relatively tight. In simple terms, there was still healthy demand for refined products and limited excess supply, which helped Par Pacific earn attractive margins from its refineries.

PARR appears well-positioned to benefit from still-strong refining margins, firm fuel demand and tight global product inventories. Although the Hawaii turnaround could weigh on third-quarter throughput and margin capture in the near term, the broader refining backdrop remains supportive of continued strong earnings.

Will PSX and VLO Also Gain?

The favorable business environment is also likely to benefit refiners such as Phillips 66 (PSX - Free Report) and Valero Energy (VLO - Free Report) .

On its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, PSX noted that there aren’t enough refineries or products globally right now because much refining capacity is offline and fuel inventories are low. China is also exporting less fuel than usual. This shortage helps keep refining margins, also called crack spreads, high. PSX believes these shortages may take longer to resolve than in 2022, which could keep the energy major’s refining profits strong into the September quarter and potentially 2027.

Valero Energy is unlikely to be an exception. The overall favorable refining business backdrop is also expected to be aiding VLO’s bottom line.

PARR’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of PARR have gained 145.1% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 118.6%.

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From a valuation standpoint, PARR trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 3.48X. This is below the broader industry average of 5.83X.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PARR’s 2026 earnings hasn’t seen any revisions over the past seven days.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Par Pacific currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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