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MAX Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What Is in the Cards?

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Key Takeaways

  • MediaAlpha's Q3 revenues are expected to rise 13.4% y/y to $347.69M, with EPS up 26.9% to 33 cents.
  • Strong P&C insurance ad spending is expected to boost MAX's segment revenues 17.7% y/y to $338.91M.
  • AI adoption & platform expansion may support growth, while Health Insurance revenues are set to fall 76.9%.

MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX - Free Report) is set to report third-quarter 2026 earnings on Oct. 28, after the closing bell.

The company’s earnings surprise history has been impressive. It surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed once, delivering an earnings surprise of 79.3% on average.

MediaAlpha, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

MediaAlpha, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

MediaAlpha, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | MediaAlpha, Inc. Quote

Shares of MAX have had a decent run over the past month. The stock has risen 29.4% against the industry’s 10.3% and the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s 1.1% decline.

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                                                                       Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Q3 Expectations for MAX

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $347.69 million, indicating a 13.4% increase from the third-quarter 2025 actuals. Growth is expected to be driven by increased advertising spending among property and casualty (P&C) insurers, supported by favorable underwriting profitability and intensifying competition for policyholders.

MediaAlpha's growing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and expansion of platform solutions, including managed advertising services and technology integrations, are expected to help traditional insurers strengthen their direct-to-consumer capabilities. These initiatives should deepen carrier relationships and drive a greater share of advertising budgets toward MAX's platform, supporting sustained revenue growth.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Property and Casualty revenues is pegged at $338.91 million, indicating a 17.7% increase from the year-ago figure.

For Life Insurance, the consensus mark is pegged at $5.67 million, indicating a 1.8% increase from the year-ago figure.

The consensus mark for Health Insurance revenues is $2.97 million, indicating a 76.9% year-over-year decline. Persistent weakness in under-65 health insurance, a sub-vertical of MAX’s digital advertising and customer-acquisition platform that connects insurance shoppers under the age of 65 with health insurance carriers and brokers, is likely to have contributed to the decline in revenues.

The consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at 33 cents per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 26.9%. We expect strong P&C revenues to have benefited the bottom line in the quarter.

What Our Model Says About MAX

Our proven model predicts a likely earnings beat for MAX this time around. A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

MediaAlpha, Inc. has an Earnings ESP of +18.18% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Other Stocks to Consider

Here are a few other stocks from the broader Business Services sector, which, according to our model, also have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this season.

Mastercard Incorporated (MA - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.11% and a Zacks Rank of 2. The company is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 29.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MA’s third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $9.63 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 12%. For earnings, the consensus mark is pegged at $5.14 per share, implying a 17.4% increase from the year-ago quarter’s actual.

Mastercard beat the consensus estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with the average earnings surprise being 6.3%.

WEX Inc. (WEX - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +3.42% and a Zacks Rank of 2. The company is scheduled to declare its third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 28.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WEX’s third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $753 million, indicating 8.9% year-over-year growth. The consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at $5.63 per share, implying a year-over-year increase of 22.7%.

WEX beat the consensus estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an earnings surprise of 4.3% on average.

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