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Williams to Report Q3 Earnings: What Surprise Awaits Investors?

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Key Takeaways

  • Williams is set to report Q3 earnings on Nov. 2, with EPS pegged at 56 cents and revenues at $3.2B.
  • Socrates Phase 1, robust Transco demand and the $5.5B Momentum acquisition may support Williams' Q3 results.
  • Rising costs and weak gas prices pose risks, but WMB's 1.65% Earnings ESP signals a potential earnings beat.

The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB - Free Report) is set to release third-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 2. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at a profit of 56 cents per share on revenues of $3.2 billion.

Let’s delve into the factors that might have influenced the oil and gas pipeline operator’s performance in the to-be-reported quarter. But it’s worth taking a look at Williams’ previous-quarter results first.

Highlights of Q2 Earnings & Surprise History

Last quarter, the energy infrastructure provider reported adjusted earnings per share of 50 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 52 cents. Revenues of $3 billion also fell short of the consensus mark by $2 million.

WMB missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the last four quarters and beat in one, resulting in an earnings surprise of negative 0.2%, on average. This is depicted in the graph below:

Trend in Estimate Revision

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third-quarter bottom line has remained unchanged in the past 30 days. The estimated figure indicates a 14.3% rise year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues, however, suggests a 9% increase from the year-ago period.

Factors to Consider Ahead of WMB’s Q3 Release

In the to-be-reported quarter, Williams is expected to benefit from the start-up of Socrates Phase 1, which began delivering 200 megawatts of power in early August, with output expected to ramp during the month. Management also reported healthy demand across its Transco network and stronger gathering volumes in the Northeast’s rich-gas areas, supporting its core operations. The $5.5 billion Momentum Midstream acquisition, which closed on Sept. 3, will add Haynesville gathering and contracted pipeline assets to the company’s portfolio, potentially contributing incremental earnings during the quarter. Momentum’s more than 4 Bcf/d of take-or-pay transportation capacity provides contracted revenue support. Management raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $8.3-$8.5 billion, underscoring confidence in business momentum.

But on a bearish note, higher costs might play spoilsport. Investors should know that WMB’s second-quarter total costs and expenses of $1.9 billion increased almost 2% from the year-ago quarter’s figure. This trend is likely to continue in the to-be-reported quarter due to project-related costs and inflationary pressure. An earnings miss remains possible as management flagged weak summer natural gas prices, rig activity and hurricane-season exposure. Moreover, early in-service payments are recognized over contract lives rather than immediately boosting earnings.

What Does Our Model Say About WMB Stock?

Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for Williams this time. A stock needs to have a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) to beat earnings. This is exactly the case here.

WMB’s Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP, which represents the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, for this company is +1.65%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

WMB’s Zacks Rank: Williams currently carries a Zacks Rank #3.

Other Stocks With the Favorable Combination

Here are some other firms from the energy space that you may want to consider, as these too have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this reporting cycle.

Energy Transfer LP (ET - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +8.46% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The firm is scheduled to release earnings on Nov. 3.You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Energy Transfer’s2026 earnings indicates 43% year-over-year growth. Valued at around $70.4 billion, Energy Transfer’sshares have gained 21.9% in a year.

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV - Free Report) presentlyhas an Earnings ESP of +12.78% and a Zacks Rank #2. The firm is scheduled to release earnings on Nov. 3.

Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ovintiv’s 2026 earnings per share indicates 63% year-over-year growth. Valued at around $19.9 billion, Ovintiv’s shares have jumped 94.2% in a year.

APA Corporation (APA - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.15% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present. The firm is scheduled to release earnings on Nov. 4.

Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for APA’s 2026 earnings indicates 65.5% year-over-year growth. Valued at around $18.2 billion, APA’s shares have surged 121.3% in a year.

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