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GRAIL Q3 Earnings Ahead: Galleri Test Adoption to Drive Growth

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Key Takeaways

  • GRAIL's Q3 revenues are projected to rise 19% to $43.1 million, with an estimated loss of $2.78 per share.
  • Galleri adoption may gain from rising physician prescriptions and clinical evidence of improved detection.
  • Partnerships, electronic ordering integrations and global expansion may support GRAL's growth.

GRAIL, Inc. (GRAL - Free Report) is scheduled to release third-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 4, after the closing bell.

In the last reported quarter, the company posted adjusted loss per share of $2.56, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12.03%. GRAIL’s earnings beat estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 22.52%.

Q3 Estimates for GRAL

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $43.1 million, which suggests an increase of 19% from the year-ago reported figure.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss per share is pinned at $2.78, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 13%. The estimate has moved north 6 cents in the past 60 days.

Here’s a quick overview of the company’s performance prior to the announcement.

Key Factors Likely to Have Driven GRAL’s Q3 Performance

In the third quarter, GRAIL is likely to have benefited from strong growth in Galleri test volumes, supported by increasing physician adoption, expanding digital health partnerships and growing clinical evidence.

Growing physician adoption for Galleri and higher prescribing activity, along with the addition of approximately 1,000 new ordering providers during the previous quarter, are likely to have boosted growth in the to-be-reported quarter. 

Results from the PATHFINDER 2 and NHS-Galleri studies demonstrated the potential of Galleri to improve cancer detection when added to standard-of-care screening. The addition of Galleri increased cancer detection rates by approximately 4-6.5x across the two studies. Evidence of improved early-stage cancer detection and the potential to facilitate curative-intent treatment likely further encouraged physician adoption and prescribing activity.

GRAIL's digital health business must have further contributed to third-quarter growth through the expansion of new and existing partnerships. Electronic ordering integrations with Quest and Athena helped expand the prescriber base and encourage more frequent prescribing among existing physicians.

 

GRAIL, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

GRAIL, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

GRAIL, Inc. price-eps-surprise | GRAIL, Inc. Quote

Strategic partnerships are likely to have supported Galleri adoption and international expansion during the third quarter. GRAIL’s collaboration with Priority Health enabled employer groups under certain plans to add Galleri to their existing screening coverage. Additionally, the $110 million strategic financing from Samsung, completed in June, enabled GRAIL to begin working with Samsung C&T Corporation on plans to commercialize Galleri in South Korea, with potential expansion into Japan and Singapore. 

During the previous quarter, non-GAAP adjusted gross profit was up 34% year over year, primarily driven by improved fixed cost leverage from higher volumes and a decrease in sample reprocessing costs. We expect this trend to have persisted in the to-be-reported quarter. 

What Our Model Suggests for GRAL

Per our proven model, a stock with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold), along with a positive Earnings ESP, has a higher chance of beating estimates. This is not the case here, as you can see below:

Earnings ESP: GRAIL has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: The company currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 stocks here.

Key MedTech Picks

Here are some medical stocks worth considering, as these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this time around:

TG Therapeutics (TGTX - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +71.43% and a Zacks Rank #1 at present. The company is expected to release third-quarter 2026 results soon. 

TGTX’s earnings beat estimates in one of the trailing four quarters and missed in the other three, the average surprise being 184.65%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter EPS implies a decrease of 84.8% from the year-ago quarter’s figure.

Revvity (RVTY - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +1.03% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The company is slated to release third-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 3.

RVTY’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 6.59%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter EPS indicates an increase of 9.3% from the year-ago quarter’s figure.

Acadia Healthcare (ACHC - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +4.84% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The company is slated to release third-quarter results on Nov. 4.

ACHC’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 47.02%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter EPS calls for a decrease of 36.1% from the year-ago quarter’s figure.

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