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Earnings Outlook: Archive

Sheraz Mian

Looking Ahead to the Q2 Earnings Season

Earnings estimates in the aggregate for the S&P 500 index have come down only a touch since the start of April, with a number of sectors starting to see positive estimate revisions.

NVDAPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Assessing the Construction Sector's Favorable Earnings Outlook

The Zacks Construction sector has been experiencing a trend reversal lately, with estimates for the group notably moving higher since the start of April 2023.

PHMPositive Net Change DHIPositive Net Change NVRPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Earnings Outlook Reflects Stability

The earnings picture defied the skeptics again in the 2023 Q1 cycle, with companies not only handily beating estimates but also providing reassuring enough guidance for the current coming quarters.

AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change KBHPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Key Takeaways from the Q1 Earnings Season

We discuss whether profitability concerns have been over-done and what that means for the outlook.

TGTPositive Net Change WMTPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Decoding Recent Positive Earnings Estimate Revisions

It's hard to know how enduring or otherwise this favorable recent turn in the revisions trend will be, but it is nevertheless a positive development.

AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change KBHPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Analyzing Recent Earnings Estimate Revisions

Since the start of April 2023, full-year 2023 earnings estimates have not only stabilized but have actually started going up modestly for several sectors. What is this telling us?

AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change KBHPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Analyzing the Q1 Earnings Landscape

Earnings growth is on track to be negative for the second consecutive quarter, with the trend of declining profits expected to continue in the current period. Where do we go from here?

MSFTPositive Net Change UALNegative Net Change CMGPositive Net Change PEPNegative Net Change

Sheraz Mian

2023 Q1 Earnings: Good Enough, but Not Great

The picture emerging from the Q1 earnings season continues to be one of resilience and stability, with companies not only beating estimates but also providing a good-enough outlook in an uncertain macro environment.

MSFTPositive Net Change UALNegative Net Change CMGPositive Net Change PEPNegative Net Change

Sheraz Mian

2023 Q1 Earnings Season Off to a Promising Start

The 2023 Q1 earnings picture emerging at this early stage is one of resilience and stability, with an above-average proportion of companies beating estimates and providing a good-enough outlook in an uncertain macro environment.

BACPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change PNCPositive Net Change USBPositive Net Change MTBPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Are Earnings Estimates Too High?

We discuss whether current earnings estimates reflect the fundamental ground reality.

JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

2023 Q1 Earnings Season Likely to Reflect Continued Margin Pressures

2023 Q1 will be the 5th consecutive quarter of declining year-over-year net margins, with S&P 500 net margins expected to compress 147 basis points from the year-earlier level. With profitability in a crunch, where do we go from here?

JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Bank Earnings Looming: What Can Investors Expect?

The Finance sector enjoyed modest upward revisions to estimates in the first two months of the quarter until the Silicon Valley Bank episode. Are investors in for a surprise?

JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Analyzing the Evolving Q1 Earnings Landscape

As has been the case in recent quarters, estimates for 2023 Q1 have been steadily coming down. With negative sentiment taking hold, where do we go from here?

JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

What Should Investors Expect For the 2023 Q1 Earnings Season?

Total S&P 500 earnings for 2023 Q1 are expected to be down -9.4% year-over-year on +1.8% higher revenues. Given these expectations, where does the market head from here?

NVDAPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change

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Will Tech Sector Earnings Growth Resume in Q1?

The Tech sector has gotten off to a great start in 2023, handily outperforming the S&P 500 index in the year-to-date period. Can a strong 2023 Q1 season push them even higher?

NVDAPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Q4 Earnings Season Is Winding Down, Let's See What's Next

Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -5.6% on +5.8% higher revenues. But what's next is crucial...

AMZNNegative Net Change TGTPositive Net Change WMTPositive Net Change HDNegative Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Exploring the Retail Sector and Looking Ahead to 2023 Earnings

The only remaining points of interest in the 2022 Q4 reporting cycle pertain to results from traditional retailers, with Walmart (WMT) and Home Depot (HD) already out and the others on deck to report in the coming days.

AMZNNegative Net Change WMTPositive Net Change HDNegative Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Making Sense of Earnings Estimate Revisions for Q1 FY23 and Beyond

For 2023 Q1, S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -8.3% on +2.1% higher revenues. This is down from -4% on January 6th and -2.9% in mid-December 2022.

AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Breaking Down the Q4 Scorecard and the Evolving Earnings Outlook

Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -5.8% on +5.3% higher revenues

INTCPositive Net Change AMDPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change

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A Steady Earnings Picture, Without a 'Cliff' In Sight

The Q4 earnings season continues to show that while growth is moderating and decelerating, it isn't falling off the cliff that many appeared to fear could be in store for us.

INTCPositive Net Change AMDPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change

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Digging into the Early Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard

Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -7.2% on +3.9% higher revenues. The question now is what's to come?

AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

A Good Enough Start to the Q4 Earnings Season

We are off to a good-enough start to the 2022 Q4 season, with no signs yet of an impending earnings cliff that will prompt management teams to overwhelmingly guide lower. That said, companies appear to be struggling to beat consensus estimates...

BACPositive Net Change WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change

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Are Earnings Estimates at Risk of Big Cuts in the Days Ahead?

Many in the market consider current earnings expectations to be too high and fear that the Q4 earnings season will cause estimates to be significantly lowered. Let's investigate...

BACPositive Net Change WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

2022 Q4 Earnings Season Preview: Will Estimates Hold Their Ground?

Many in the market consider current earnings expectations to be too high and fear that the Q4 earnings season will cause estimates to be lowered significantly. We strongly dispute the notion that earnings estimates remain out of sync with the economic ground reality...

BACPositive Net Change WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Sheraz Mian

Earnings Estimates Keep Coming Down

The trend of negative estimate revisions that was already firmly in place ahead of the start of the Q3 earnings season has further accelerated since then

TGTPositive Net Change WMTPositive Net Change