Back to top

Analyst Blog

This page is temporarily not available.  Please check later as it should be available shortly. If you have any questions, please email customer support at support@zacks.com or call 800-767-3771 ext.  9339.

Sempra Energy (SRE - Analyst Report) is set to report second quarter 2013 results on Aug 6, 2013, before the earnings bell. Last quarter it posted a 4.90% negative surprise. Sempra at the moment has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to be Considered this Quarter

Sempra Energy is a southern California-based energy services holding company involved in the sale, distribution, storage, and transportation of electricity and natural gas.

Sempra’s first quarter 2013 top- as well as bottom-line results missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, in the wake of weak earnings across its business segments except the Sempra Natural Gas unit.

Again, Sempra’s businesses are capital intensive and rely significantly on long-term debt for its capital expenditures. Additionally, the company operates in the state of California, which maintains an aggressive 20%-plus renewable portfolio standard requirement. The targets are expected to further ramp up to 33% by 2020. This would entail significant investment towards renewable energy projects necessitating more funds.

Guidance

Recently, Sempra lowered the high end of its 2013 guidance range to $4.30 to $4.60 per share from the earlier range of 4.30 to $4.80 per share.

For 2014, the company has set its expectation between $4.25 and $4.55 per share. For 2017, Sempra anticipates earnings of $5.10 to $5.60 per share. However, its earnings guidance through 2017 does not involve any major contribution from its Cameron liquefied natural gas export project in Louisiana. The project is not expected to be operational fully until the end of 2018.

Earnings Whispers?

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Sempra is likely to beat earnings this quarter. That is because a stock needs to have both a positive earnings Expected Surprise Prediction or ESP (Read: Zacks Earnings ESP: A Better Method) and a Zacks Rank of #1, 2 or 3 for this to happen. That is not the case here as you will see below.

Negative Zacks ESP: That is because the Most Accurate estimate stands at $1.30, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is higher at $1.36. That is a difference of -4.41%.

Zacks #3 Rank (Hold): This combined with an ESP of -4.41% makes surprise prediction difficult. We caution against stocks with Zacks Ranks #4 and 5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Stocks to Consider

Here are some companies to consider as our model shows they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter.

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU - Snapshot Report) has Earnings ESP of 0.00% and carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
 
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG - Snapshot Report) has Earnings ESP of +1.52% and carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
 
Questar Corporation (STR - Analyst Report) has Earnings ESP of 0.00% and carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Please login to Zacks.com or register to post a comment.

New to Zacks?

Start Here

Zacks Investment Research

Close

Are you a new Zacks Member or a visitor to Zacks.com?

Top Zacks Features

Learn more

Start for as little as $4.50 per trade.

My Portfolio Tracker

Is it Time to Sell?

One of the most important steps you can take today is to set up your portfolio tracker on Zacks.com. Once you do, you'll be notified of major events affecting your stocks and/or funds with daily email alerts.

More Zacks Resources

Zacks Rank Home - Evaluate your stocks and use the Zacks Rank to eliminate the losers and keep the winners.

Mutual Fund Rank Home - Evaluate your funds with the Mutual Fund Rank for both your personal and retirement funds.

Stock/Mutual Fund Screening - Find better stocks and mutual funds. The ones most likely to beat the market and provide a positive return.

My Portfolio - Track your Portfolio and find out where your stocks/mutual funds stack up with the Zacks Rank.

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

Company Symbol Price %Chg
DIXIE GROUP DXYN 15.84 +7.90%
BOFL HOLDING BOFI 85.30 +4.97%
RAMBUS INC RMBS 12.31 +4.41%
VIPSHOP HOLD VIPS 148.73 +4.35%
NETFLIX INC NFLX 345.74 +4.32%