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Profit from the Pros By Kevin Matras Executive Vice President
Rising Case Counts And New CA Restrictions Overshadow Vaccine Hopes
Image: Bigstock
Stocks closed mostly lower yesterday after reversing sharp intraday gains.
Earlier, the Nasdaq hit another new high, and the S&P briefly turned positive on the year.
Excitement over the fast-track designation of two experimental vaccines by Pfizer and BioNTech sent stocks soaring. It's generally believed that once a vaccine is approved and available, that will mark the day the world can truly begin to get back to normal.
But then news that CA has ordered all bars and indoor dining to reclose, due to the increase in COVID-19 cases, dragged stocks off their highs and into the red.
Of course, the concern now is, how long will this last? Will FL and TX be next? And what will this mean for the long-term reopening of our economy?
The market shrugged off the increase in cases for the last couple of weeks. But today's actions suggest traders will be paying more attention to these developments.
It will be an interesting next few weeks as the economic reports have been showing a strong recovery with huge pent-up demand being unleashed with the easing of the lockdown restrictions.
And while there are some high-profile hot spots, the aforementioned states being the biggest, there are plenty of cities and states doing quite well and moving along through their next phase of reopening.
We're also beginning earning season. Stocks typically go up during this time. While most everyone expects Q2 to show a deep contraction for GDP (before gaining roughly 20% in Q3), the better than expected economic numbers over the last couple of months suggest we could see plenty of better than expected earnings reports too.
Remember, not all companies suffered during the lockdown. And since the lockdown was shorter, and in some ways less severe than feared, there's ample opportunity for companies to report better than expected results.
In the meantime, as disappointing as yesterday's about-face in the market was, stocks have been on a tear. And with top analysts expecting unprecedented economic growth for the remainder of the year, it looks like stocks have a lot more upside to go.
So keep your eyes on the big picture.
And pay attention to earnings. While investor darlings like Netflix report this week (Thursday, 7/16 after the close), big banks and financial institutions will take center stage.
It's going to be an exciting next few weeks.
So be sure to use this time to your advantage.
And if the market pulls back a little more, it could be a great time to pick up your favorite stocks at a cheaper price.
See you tomorrow,
Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research
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