Back to top

View the PFP Archive

Stocks closed mostly higher on Friday with only the Nasdaq missing the cut, albeit barely.
Kevin Matras   
Profit from the Pros
By Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President
Zacks Investment Research
  

Stocks Closed Mostly Higher On Friday, But Down For The Week, Last Week's Better-Than-Expected Employment And Inflation Reports Are Supportive For Stocks

Stocks closed mostly higher on Friday with only the Nasdaq missing the cut, albeit barely.

The small-cap Russell 2000 and mid-cap S&P 400 were the leaders, once again, gaining 1.18% and 0.89% respectively.

YTD the market is off to a decent, but uneven start with the Dow up 2.99%; the S&P off -0.14%; the Nasdaq down -2.99%; but the small-cap Russell 2000 up 6.64%; and the mid-cap S&P 400 up 7.82%.

Tech has seen its share of profit taking. And market rotation has benefited the small and mid-caps (which lagged larger-caps and big tech last year).

But the broadening of the bull market will benefit all the indexes. And despite the volatility in big tech and AI names at the moment, I see that as very temporary, as the AI boom is still in its early stages with many more years to go as the transformational technology is adopted across all industries.

Big week last week in terms of economic reports.

Friday's Consumer Price Index (CPI ? retail inflation), once again, showed inflation easing with the headline number at 0.2% m/m vs. last month's 0.3% and views for the same. The y/y rate came in at 2.4% vs. last month's 2.7% and estimates for 2.5%. The core rate (ex-food & energy), was up 0.3% vs. last month's 0.2% pace, but in line with forecasts. The y/y rate eased to 2.5% vs. last month's 2.6%, also in line with the consensus.

While inflation is still too high, the continued decline gives the Fed breathing room to lower rates, when the time comes.

Although, last Wednesday's better-than-expected Employment report also shows the Fed there's no rush to do so.

Non-farm payrolls showed 130,000 new jobs being created in January (172,000 in the private sector and -42,000 in the public) vs. the consensus for 70,000 (75K private and -5K public). The unemployment rate eased to 4.3% vs. last month's 4.4% and views for the same, while the participation rate rose to 62.5% from 62.4%.

As I mentioned last week, the only downside to the stronger report was calling into question the timing of the next rate cut. Although, even prior last week's jobs report, the odds favored a June cut rather than March or April. (Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term ends in in May. And the new nominee, Kevin Warsh, is expected to push for cuts in the first month he's at the helm.)

In the meantime, Q4 earnings are coming in better than expected as well. And earnings season continues on this week with another 562 companies on deck to report.

Earnings season, however, 'officially' comes to a close next week when NVIDIA reports on Wednesday, 2/25, after the close. They have shown 10 quarters in a row of at least double-digit growth rates (two and a half spectacular years of growth). (5 of those quarters were triple-digit growth rates, with one quarter showing quadruple-digit growth.) Another fantastic quarter could potentially reset the AI trade, putting it back on the right track and dispelling the notion that AI is in a bubble.

Most of the major indexes are within striking distance of their all-time highs (some of which just made new ones last week). And it won't take much to send stocks back to those levels, on their way to making new all-time highs, as this historic bull market looks to begin its next leg up.

See you tomorrow,

Kevin Matras

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

Sponsor


Tech's Key Metal Is Running Short – Here's the Early Name Ready for It

image

AI. EVs. Solar. Energy tech. They all rely on silver - and the world's using more of it than ever. Demand just hit record highs while supply barely moved, creating a setup that feels a lot like gold's early move. One early-stage name with major backing and three fully owned projects is gaining traction fast. Retail is just starting to see it.

Explore the Early-Stage Name Tied to This Silver Squeeze

Most Popular Articles from Zacks.com

Image: Bigstock

Previewing Retail Sector Earnings: A Closer Look

Total Q4 earnings for 13 retailers that have reported are up +6.3% from the same period last year on +11.6% higher revenues. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Tech Stocks Down 50%: Buy the Dip or a Major Market Shift?

Despite the severity of the tech drawdowns, the broader market has remained surprisingly resilient. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

3 Cheap Old Economy Stocks to Buy Now

Investors should look outside of tech stocks with cheap value plays BCS, KEP and DB. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

2 AI Stocks Soaring Over 400% That Could Be the Next NVIDIA

Over the past two years, surging enthusiasm around AI has fueled impressive gains for MU and PLTR, which have climbed 405.9% and 412.6%, respectively. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Tech Boom & Defense Backlogs: 2 Sectors Poised to Outperform in 2026

Supported by strong demand and favorable earnings momentum, the tech and industrial sectors are expected to outperform the broader market. Read More »

Sponsor


See Zacks' Top Stocks for Free


Starting today, you can get instant access to the latest picks from our time-proven strategies which since 2000 have soared far above the market. While the S&P 500 averaged +8.1% per year, our top strategies averaged gains as high as +45.4%, +48.1% and +51.4% per year.

You'll also get our free Special Report, Top 10 Stock Screening Strategies that Make Money which spells out the formulas behind these top strategies.


See Stocks Free »

Image: Bigstock

Bull of the Day: AECOM (ACM)

AECOM recently raised full year earnings guidance as it enjoys a record backlog. Read More »

New Zacks Strong Buys for February 17th

Here are 5 stocks added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List today. Read More »

 

Download our app for convenient on-the-go access to even more—daily and weekly newsletters published by Zacks experts, proprietary research and tools, and Portfolio Tracker on Zacks.com.

Download our Zacks App for Apple iOS
Download our Zacks App for Android

Visit Success Stories to hear how Zacks research, tools and portfolios help our members outperform the market.