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After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.
Whether you made money in 2023 or lost, looking back and studying the past can help with the future. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco identifies 5 key lessons from this historic year.
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
PCE is behaving as well as can be expected, spending and income remain reasonably OK, but longer-term joblessness appears to be a developing economic headwind.
The recent market rally, prompted by a more Dovish Federal Reserve and strong earnings, has left investors questioning whether it's a bear market rally or a resumption of the bull market that began in late 2022. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco provides insights.
interest-rate: Archive
Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable
by Mark Vickery
After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials inflation interest-rate staffing
2023 Rewind: 5 Valuable Lessons
by Andrew Rocco
Whether you made money in 2023 or lost, looking back and studying the past can help with the future. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco identifies 5 key lessons from this historic year.
QQQPositive Net Change IWMPositive Net Change ITBPositive Net Change SLXNegative Net Change SMHPositive Net Change
home-builder interest-rate investing semiconductor
Could Supply Chain Disruptions End the Party?
by Mark Vickery
It's likely some profit-booking going on in the sell-off, but it's always worth it to pay attention to what's going on.
GISNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-staples inflation interest-rate transportation
Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues
by Mark Vickery
Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction home-builder inflation interest-rate
Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week
by Mark Vickery
Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
3 Exciting Small Cap Stocks with Dividend Yields Over 5%
by Shaun Pruitt
As broader markets continue to rally on the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, many small-cap stocks are joining the party.
DLXPositive Net Change JHGPositive Net Change FATPositive Net Change
business-services dividend-investing dividends finance inflation interest-rate payments restaurants retail
Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity
by Mark Vickery
We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate retail staffing
Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024
by Mark Vickery
In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.
ADBEPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year
by Mark Vickery
Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?
by Mark Vickery
Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.
BANegative Net Change JPMPositive Net Change VPositive Net Change IBMPositive Net Change XOMPositive Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change ADBEPositive Net Change
earnings finance inflation interest-rate
November CPI Roughly In-Line, Pre-Markets Cool
by Mark Vickery
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples finance inflation interest-rate
Market Rally Grows Legs as Breadth Improves: Stocks to Watch
by Bryan Hayes
The rebound points to a higher probability that the major indexes will ultimately eclipse their all-time highs sooner rather than later.
TOLPositive Net Change LENPositive Net Change
construction earnings home-builder inflation interest-rate investing tech-stocks
5 Reasons to be Bullish into 2024
by Andrew Rocco
Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco unveils 5 bullish undercurrents that will push stocks even higher into the new year.
NVOPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change IWMPositive Net Change KREPositive Net Change CRSPPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change
biotechnology crispr interest-rate tech-stocks
Markets Trade Up Ahead of CPI, Fed Meeting
by Mark Vickery
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
MPositive Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change CASYNegative Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation interest-rate
BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%
by Mark Vickery
This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate staffing
ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent
by Mark Vickery
At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
Stocks Waver to Begin December: Here's What to Expect
by Bryan Hayes
Periods of low volatility are inevitably followed by periods of high volatility.
RCLPositive Net Change SPOTPositive Net Change COINPositive Net Change
bitcoin blockchain consumer-discretionary cryptocurrency earnings inflation interest-rate investing tech-stocks travel-leisure
Friday Pre-Market Quiets, Indices Slightly Lower
by Mark Vickery
The past month of trading has been extraordinary, with the S&P +7.4%, both the Dow and Russell +7.9% and the Nasdaq +8.1%.
CRMPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction earnings inflation interest-rate
Big Inflation Data Morning: PCE, Income & Spending, Jobless Claims
by Mark Vickery
PCE is behaving as well as can be expected, spending and income remain reasonably OK, but longer-term joblessness appears to be a developing economic headwind.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples inflation interest-rate staffing
Mining Stocks Shine as Gold Nears All-Time High
by Bryan Hayes
A falling dollar now presents a major tailwind for gold prices.
AGIPositive Net Change
basic-materials earnings gold inflation interest-rate investing
Housing Data Stronger for October; Pre-Markets Mixed
by Mark Vickery
Housing Starts for October grew +1.9% to 1.372 million -- the highest print in three months.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
home-builder inflation interest-rate
Pre-Markets Higher After Winning Streaks Break
by Mark Vickery
If Fed Chair Powell's raison d'etre was to dampen market activity, he was only partially successful.
MGMPositive Net Change TPRNegative Net Change
earnings finance inflation interest-rate
Bear Market Rally or Bull Market Resumption? (5 Clues)
by Andrew Rocco
The recent market rally, prompted by a more Dovish Federal Reserve and strong earnings, has left investors questioning whether it's a bear market rally or a resumption of the bull market that began in late 2022. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco provides insights.
AMZNPositive Net Change AMDPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change NFLXPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change IWMPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change ANETPositive Net Change KREPositive Net Change ROKUPositive Net Change PINSPositive Net Change
artificial-intelligence earnings interest-rate
Pre-Markets Follow Strong Week in the Green Again
by Mark Vickery
Ahead of today's opening bell, the Dow and Nasdaq are +40 points, and the S&P is +10.
EXPEPositive Net Change RLPositive Net Change DISPositive Net Change ARMPositive Net Change TSLAPositive Net Change TRIPPositive Net Change BKNGPositive Net Change UBERPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate travel-leisure
Jobs Cut in Half to 150K; Unemployment +3.9%
by Mark Vickery
Today's headline BLS number is 150K, below the 170-180K expected, and well below the downwardly revised 297K the previous month.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing