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interest-rate: Archive

Bryan Hayes

Economy Goes Two-for-Two on Inflation: Stocks to Watch

Light inflation figures should help to further relieve weakness in rate-sensitive pockets of the market like small-caps.

GSNegative Net Change WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change KBHNegative Net Change XHBNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Down as Q4 Earnings Season Kicks Off Mid-Week

We're up more than 100 bps on 10-year Treasury bond yields from mid-September levels.

WFCPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

U.S. Jobs Much Hotter than Expected; Pre-markets Sell

+256K new jobs filled in December is the largest monthly figure since March of last year.

ADPNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Carter Funeral Suspends Stock Market; What to Expect Friday

Expectations are for 155K jobs to have been filled in December, with an Unemployment Rate holding steady at +4.2%.

ADPNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Mixed, Flatten After Fed Minutes Released

While the Fed sees longer-term trends still pointing generally toward +2% inflation, several of the members also now see risks inherent in the economy ahead.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Swing to Negative on Healthy Econ Data (& Higher Bond Yields)

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq lost their two-day winning streak, -1.11% and -1.88%, respectively today.

ADPNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Up Ahead of a New Jobs Week

As jobs reports hit the tape, keep in mind the Fed's dual mandate: not just curbing inflation but also fostering full employment.

ADPNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

PCE Cools in November; Are We Getting an Xmas Government Shutdown?

A federal government shutdown has not happened since 2018-19, the second of two shutdowns in 2018.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Look to Bounce Back from Big Wednesday Selloff

Early trading is filling in some of the big holes dug in the stock market yesterday.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Stock Market Sells Off on New Fed Rate Policy

The Fed is only looking to cut two more times in the new year, instead of the previous dot-plot's indicated four cuts.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-markets Go Green Ahead of Fed Interest Rate Decision

The big news will likely not be the decision on interest rates, but how the Fed's tone has changed.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Lower Ahead of Fed Policy Decision, Forward View

The Dow slipped another -267 points, -0.61%, the S&P 500 was -0.39%, the Nasdaq -0.32%.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Fed Decision Wednesday in Focus This Week

Expectations are strong for another 25 basis-point (bps) cut to the Fed funds rate, which would bring effective interest rates to a range of 4.25-4.50% for the first time since February of 2023.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Nasdaq Up, Dow Down: A Week in Review

It's Friday the 13th, but pre-market futures are not spooked.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

PPI Up Big on Hotter Food Prices, Jobless Claims Higher

Headline PPI month over month came in double expectations to +0.4%, the highest since June of this year.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Nasdaq Up Big, Dow Down a Bit, Following CPI, Budget Data

It's now in the Fed's hands what they want to do about interest rates at their two-day meeting starting next Tuesday.

ADBENegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

CPI +0.3%, +2.7% Year over Year: Exactly In-Line

The CPI Inflation Rate came in-line with expectations: +2.7%, 10 bps ahead of the prior month.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Market Indexes Close in the Red Ahead of CPI Data

While most CPI numbers are expected to be in-line with the previous month, the Inflation Rate looks to be ticking into the opposite direction.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Quiet Ahead of CPI Report Mid-Week

Would a hotter-than-expected CPI headline cause the Fed to pause cutting interest rates?

ORCLNegative Net Change TOLNegative Net Change AIPositive Net Change CASYNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Report Warmer than Expected: 227K; 4.2% Unemployment

In two of the last three months of BLS data, we're seeing resistance to a cooling economy in the jobs market.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims Mixed, Trade Deficit Slimmer

Both Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims are still representative of a healthy labor situation overall.

ADPNegative Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

ADP +146K: Lighter than Expected

Manufacturing shed -26K positions in November, another hard reality for an already struggling sector of the economy.

CRMNegative Net Change ADPNegative Net Change

Andrew Rocco

3 Reasons the US Equity Bull will Continue

Bullish momentum, expanding breadth, and a dovish Federal Reserve board are three reasons for investors to remain bullish stocks into year-end.

MSFTPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change IWMNegative Net Change QQQENegative Net Change

Bryan Hayes

Historical Odds Favor Year-End Rally: Stocks to Watch

If we finish in this territory, it would be the first time since 1998-99 that the S&P 500 rose 20% or more in consecutive years.

AMZNNegative Net Change CRMNegative Net Change MRVLPositive Net Change LULUNegative Net Change TSLAPositive Net Change SQPositive Net Change PSTGNegative Net Change