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Economic Outlook: Archive
Will Swallowing This 'Paper Wealth' Pig End Badly?
by John Blank
Collectively, U.S. households are in much better shape than any other period in the data, going back to the early 1990s.
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In 2024, This Harvard Professor's Theory Lives On
by John Blank
Twenty-four years after a massive tech bubble formed on Wall Street, the same lesson does not correlate today. Read here to find out why.
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airlines finance tech-stocks
A Look at Foreign Direct Investment Leaders
by John Blank
Times do change. Corporate and technology structures inside the world economy can change dramatically.
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emerging-markets finance
The U.S. Experience with Supply Shock Inflation
by John Blank
If history rhymes, the U.S. economy will continue to dis-inflate consumer price for the next 12 months, and the process will bottom sometime in early 2025.
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finance
A 2023 Christmas Holiday Season Shopping Report
by John Blank
We are midway thru the typically strong seasonal Christmas holiday shopping season. Let's tap the best U.S. retail sales data, and study the state of the U.S. consumer.
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consumer-discretionary retail
Time to Consult the 'Macro Snapshot'
by John Blank
The FRED Macro Snapshot is designed to provide insight into the macroeconomic data economists and policymakers at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis use to analyze current economic conditions.
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finance
Is the U.S. Economy Warming Up or Cooling Down?
by John Blank
Has this post-COVID U.S. economy been expanding, stayed static, or did it contract this year? Of course, there is a critical second follow-on topic: Will this trend continue into next year?
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consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings finance
What Role Does Uncertainty Play?
by John Blank
The outlook over the next 12 months looks hazy to many. This is a key concern. Chief Strategist John Blank wants to address their worries in this month's special Zacks Econ section.
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banking finance
Bears See Leading Indicators, Bulls See Coincident Indicators
by John Blank
We all like to think Small Tech drives GDP growth. But Small Tech gets swallowed by Big Tech these days.
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banking finance
Diving into Macro Fundamentals and More to Help Investors Navigate June
by John Blank
Four times a year, Zacks does a survey of Chief Investment Officers (CIOs). Here is some of what these CIOs are thinking about on select macro fundamentals, alongside Zacks June 2023 forecasts and much more...
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earnings finance
Will the Regional Bank Crisis Cause a Recession?
by John Blank
The major question posed is this one: Is the financial stress caused by this regional banking crisis so significant that the U.S. economy will stagger into a recession?
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banking finance
Lessons to Capture from Job Postings on Indeed
by John Blank
Successful U.S. job market demand management supports the case for a "soft" growth landing.
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finance
The Global Electric Vehicle Shift
by John Blank
Government actors are actively spurring a more rapid adoption of electric vehicles. In turn, they are spurring on the latest info tech sector technologies.
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alt-energy auto-tires-trucks
Zacks 2023 CIO Survey
by John Blank
Chief Investment Officers (CIOs) get asked 14 questions. All questions tap into their 12-month look-ahead views: On numerous stock ETFs, broad bond classes and key macro fundamentals.
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banking finance
How Did COVID Change the U.S. Labor Market?
by John Blank
There is a record low 3.5% household U.S. Unemployment Rate showing up in current U.S. macro-economic data. This is an impressive macro feat...
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earnings finance real-estate
Christmastime U.S. Retail Sales Update
by John Blank
Overall, U.S. consumers plan to spend an average of $1,430 on gifts, travel and entertainment this year -- very similar to the $1,447 they spent last year. That's up +20% over pandemic-ravaged 2020 and more than +10% over 2019.
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consumer-discretionary retail
5 Reasons the Housing Market Is Not About to Crash
by John Blank
It is well known by now that millennials will drive the housing market for years to come. They are the most educated generation in history, they are larger than the baby boomer generation, and the largest group of them are ages 29-33.
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finance home-buying-apps real-estate
A Deep Dive Into Consumer Price Inflation
by John Blank
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gets produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The CPI uses data from household surveys. The CPI only accounts for all urban households.
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consumer-discretionary
How to Visualize THIS U.S. Economy
by John Blank
Economists can formally capture, and study, dynamic movement in the massive machine of an aggregate economy. At the most basic level, this is accomplished by using this easy identity.
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earnings finance
The Latest on the Wealth of Nations
by John Blank
In a recent Development Economics article, we see some surprising data on growth pockets around the globe.
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emerging-markets finance
The Inventory Crisis
by John Blank
The concept of inventory, stock, or work in process (or work in progress) has been extended from manufacturing systems to service businesses and projects, by generalizing the definition to be "all work within the process of production -- all work that is or has occurred prior to the completion of production."
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auto-tires-trucks home-builder
The Only Investment Indicator You Need
by John Blank
You must learn to pass judgment on the U.S. economy yourself. Gladly there is a simple system Zacks Chief Strategist John Blank uses that does very well in this regard.
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emerging-markets finance
Has the World Economy Seen Peak Consumer Price Inflation?
by John Blank
There was a small amount of embedded good news for those looking to call a peak in this episode of high consumer price inflation.
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finance
How Does U.S. Housing Slow Down?
by John Blank
At the current moment, this is the multi-trillion-dollar macro question. Zacks Chief Economist John Blank, Ph.D helps frame a coherent set of answers for all of us.
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construction finance home-builder
How to Size Up the U.S. Corporate Profit Boom?
by John Blank
Companies were able to boost prices amid global supply chain shortages, leaving both U.S. and global consumers paying more for everything, from gasoline to food to toys.
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finance multi-sector-conglomerates