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Economic Outlook: Archive
Will the Regional Bank Crisis Cause a Recession?
by John Blank
The major question posed is this one: Is the financial stress caused by this regional banking crisis so significant that the U.S. economy will stagger into a recession?
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
banking finance
Lessons to Capture from Job Postings on Indeed
by John Blank
Successful U.S. job market demand management supports the case for a "soft" growth landing.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
The Global Electric Vehicle Shift
by John Blank
Government actors are actively spurring a more rapid adoption of electric vehicles. In turn, they are spurring on the latest info tech sector technologies.
TSLAPositive Net Change NIOPositive Net Change BYDDYPositive Net Change
alt-energy auto-tires-trucks
Zacks 2023 CIO Survey
by John Blank
Chief Investment Officers (CIOs) get asked 14 questions. All questions tap into their 12-month look-ahead views: On numerous stock ETFs, broad bond classes and key macro fundamentals.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
banking finance
How Did COVID Change the U.S. Labor Market?
by John Blank
There is a record low 3.5% household U.S. Unemployment Rate showing up in current U.S. macro-economic data. This is an impressive macro feat...
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
earnings finance real-estate
Christmastime U.S. Retail Sales Update
by John Blank
Overall, U.S. consumers plan to spend an average of $1,430 on gifts, travel and entertainment this year -- very similar to the $1,447 they spent last year. That's up +20% over pandemic-ravaged 2020 and more than +10% over 2019.
LOWNegative Net Change HDPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary retail
5 Reasons the Housing Market Is Not About to Crash
by John Blank
It is well known by now that millennials will drive the housing market for years to come. They are the most educated generation in history, they are larger than the baby boomer generation, and the largest group of them are ages 29-33.
VNQPositive Net Change MORTPositive Net Change HOMZNegative Net Change
finance home-buying-apps real-estate
A Deep Dive Into Consumer Price Inflation
by John Blank
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gets produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The CPI uses data from household surveys. The CPI only accounts for all urban households.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
consumer-discretionary
How to Visualize THIS U.S. Economy
by John Blank
Economists can formally capture, and study, dynamic movement in the massive machine of an aggregate economy. At the most basic level, this is accomplished by using this easy identity.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
earnings finance
The Latest on the Wealth of Nations
by John Blank
In a recent Development Economics article, we see some surprising data on growth pockets around the globe.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
emerging-markets finance
The Inventory Crisis
by John Blank
The concept of inventory, stock, or work in process (or work in progress) has been extended from manufacturing systems to service businesses and projects, by generalizing the definition to be "all work within the process of production -- all work that is or has occurred prior to the completion of production."
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change LGIHNegative Net Change
auto-tires-trucks home-builder
The Only Investment Indicator You Need
by John Blank
You must learn to pass judgment on the U.S. economy yourself. Gladly there is a simple system Zacks Chief Strategist John Blank uses that does very well in this regard.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
emerging-markets finance
Has the World Economy Seen Peak Consumer Price Inflation?
by John Blank
There was a small amount of embedded good news for those looking to call a peak in this episode of high consumer price inflation.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
How Does U.S. Housing Slow Down?
by John Blank
At the current moment, this is the multi-trillion-dollar macro question. Zacks Chief Economist John Blank, Ph.D helps frame a coherent set of answers for all of us.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change XHBNegative Net Change ITBNegative Net Change HOMZNegative Net Change
construction finance home-builder
How to Size Up the U.S. Corporate Profit Boom?
by John Blank
Companies were able to boost prices amid global supply chain shortages, leaving both U.S. and global consumers paying more for everything, from gasoline to food to toys.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance multi-sector-conglomerates
Can U.S. Healthcare Handle Another Peak COVID Surge?
by John Blank
What of the performance of the U.S. healthcare system, during such a mammoth COVID caseload and hospitalization crisis?
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
hospitals medical vaccines
12 Key Risks for 2022
by John Blank
The IIA???s annual report,??"Pulse of Internal Audit," is based on a survey of over 500 internal audit executives. It identifies key risk areas.??
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance multi-sector-conglomerates software
A World Tour of Policy Rate Hikes
by John Blank
With the Fed undertaking a taper, starting in November, Zacks Chief Strategist John Blank outlines this: Jerome Powell & Co. are very likely late in the cyclical game, and way behind many of their peers, in this rapidly expanding business cycle.
SPYNegative Net Change VPLPositive Net Change EWYPositive Net Change SPEUNegative Net Change
emerging-markets etfs
How COVID Reshaped Retail Spending, Retailers & Goods Production
by John Blank
Total retail sales in the United States should amount to $5.35T U.S. dollars in 2025, up from around $4.85T in 2019.
AMZNPositive Net Change ORLYPositive Net Change ANPositive Net Change AAPNegative Net Change AZOPositive Net Change GMNegative Net Change
auto-tires-trucks earnings retail tech-stocks
What Macro Factors Delivered a Surge to Record Home Prices?
by John Blank
A solo September 2021 fact -- all-time record home prices -- seems almost impossible. But here we are, dealing with another huge run-up in single-family U.S. home prices.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
Did COVID Remote Working Launch Economy-Wide Productivity Gains?
by John Blank
In December 2020, 41.8% of the American workforce worked remotely. An estimated 26.7% will still be working from home across 2021, and 36.2 million Americans (22% of the workforce) will be working remotely by 2025.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
Will the U.S. Economy Be Stronger Than Before the Pandemic?
by John Blank
Could it be that the pandemic was a catalyst and accelerator for developments that were underway even before the recession?
QQQNegative Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
Is There a Shortage Crisis Looming?
by John Blank
While consumers have come to terms with the fact that orders might take longer than usual, investors are left wondering what the implication of this could be for the recovery process. Are we simply spinning our wheels for a while and will get back to business as usual soon?
SPYNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
semiconductor
Is the Fed Still Measuring Inflation Correctly?
by John Blank
In order to ascertain interest rate risk, introduced by a change in policy on the short end by the Fed, we need to understand consumer price inflation dynamics.
SPYNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
What Will Be the Impact of the New Infrastructure Plan?
by John Blank
With the latest round of stimulus checks barely in the mail, traders already moved on to price in the next item on the new administration's agenda: the Infrastructure Plan.
SPYNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
airlines transportation travel-leisure