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Economic Outlook: Archive
Putting the U.S. and World Economies Together
by John Blank
Real potential GDP is the Congressional Budget Office (CBO's) estimate of the output the U.S. economy would produce, with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
business-services emerging-markets
Will Swallowing This 'Paper Wealth' Pig End Badly?
by John Blank
Collectively, U.S. households are in much better shape than any other period in the data, going back to the early 1990s.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
advertising
In 2024, This Harvard Professor's Theory Lives On
by John Blank
Twenty-four years after a massive tech bubble formed on Wall Street, the same lesson does not correlate today. Read here to find out why.
INTCPositive Net Change NVDAPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change METANegative Net Change
airlines finance tech-stocks
A Look at Foreign Direct Investment Leaders
by John Blank
Times do change. Corporate and technology structures inside the world economy can change dramatically.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
emerging-markets finance
The U.S. Experience with Supply Shock Inflation
by John Blank
If history rhymes, the U.S. economy will continue to dis-inflate consumer price for the next 12 months, and the process will bottom sometime in early 2025.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
A 2023 Christmas Holiday Season Shopping Report
by John Blank
We are midway thru the typically strong seasonal Christmas holiday shopping season. Let's tap the best U.S. retail sales data, and study the state of the U.S. consumer.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
consumer-discretionary retail
Time to Consult the 'Macro Snapshot'
by John Blank
The FRED Macro Snapshot is designed to provide insight into the macroeconomic data economists and policymakers at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis use to analyze current economic conditions.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
finance
Is the U.S. Economy Warming Up or Cooling Down?
by John Blank
Has this post-COVID U.S. economy been expanding, stayed static, or did it contract this year? Of course, there is a critical second follow-on topic: Will this trend continue into next year?
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings finance
What Role Does Uncertainty Play?
by John Blank
The outlook over the next 12 months looks hazy to many. This is a key concern. Chief Strategist John Blank wants to address their worries in this month's special Zacks Econ section.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
banking finance
Bears See Leading Indicators, Bulls See Coincident Indicators
by John Blank
We all like to think Small Tech drives GDP growth. But Small Tech gets swallowed by Big Tech these days.
QQQPositive Net Change SPYNegative Net Change URINegative Net Change DIANegative Net Change
banking finance